Weather Watch and Storm Updates

Updates

The Mandatory Evacuation order has been lifted, and all roads are open in Franklin County including St. George Island Bridge.
RVP is beginning damage assessment now, and RVP offices will open at noon on Tuesday, September 12.
Guests are welcome to return to SGI. You may arrive before we have completed a damage assessment of your vacation home – please report any issues or storm damage at (850) 927-2110.

Hurricane Irma Updates: Resort Vacation Properties of St. George Island

Tuesday, September 12, St. George Island – 

RVP is open for business today! Our offices open at noon, and our online reservations system has been restored. We look forward to welcoming you to St. George Island!

The evacuation was lifted Monday, September 11, and all bridges and roads in the county are open. Fortunately, damage in the area is relatively minimal, and the Island you love is waiting for you.

12:05 pm, Monday September 11, St. George Island –

With Irma down to a Tropical Storm, the Mandatory Evacuation has been lifted. Roads are open, including St. George Island.

RVP is on the way to conduct damage assessments, and our offices will open at noon tomorrow. Guests who arrive before then may arrive to homes that have not had damage assessments completed. Please report any storm-related damages or other issues as you discover them, (850) 927-2110.

See you on the Island soon!

8:00 am, Monday, September 11, St. George Island –
Irma has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm, but the size of the storm means we expect Tropical Storm-force winds throughout Monday and into the evening.
Hurricane Warning rescinded, now under Tropical Storm warning.
Scattered power outages on St. George Island and throughout Franklin County.
Not relaxing yet, but it looks like we may get lucky this time and avoid serious damage from this historica storm. Thoughts and prayers with those affected and still in Irma’s path.
Next update at 11:00 am.

11:00 pm, Sunday September 10, St. George Island –

It’s looking a bit more positive for SGI, folks.
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located by NOAA Doppler radar near latitude 27.5 North, longitude 81.9 West (Sarasota)
Irma is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest and then northwest at a faster forward speed is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Irma will continue to move over the western Florida peninsula through Monday morning and then into the southeastern United States late Monday and Tuesday.
 
Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Irma is expected to become a tropical storm over far northern Florida or southern Georgia on Monday.
 
Irma has a very large wind field. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km).

8:00 am, Sunday September 10, St. George Island:

Franklin County is still under a Hurricane Warning. There is no Storm Surge warning in effect at this time. Current National Hurricane Center predictions show Tropical Storm force or greater winds arriving this evening, with heavy rains expected (~4″).
 
Irma is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and an increase in forward speed is expected later today, with that motion continuing through Monday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move over the Lower Florida Keys shortly, and then move near or over the west coast of the Florida Peninsula later today through tonight. Irma should then move inland over northern Florida and southwestern Georgia Monday afternoon.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. While weakening is forecast, Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane while it moves through the Florida Keys and near the west coast of Florida.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km).
Next update at 11:00 am.

11:00 update

No pronounced changes. Irma is lingering over Cuba as a Category 3 storm, expected to strengthen again after moving over the water.

Franklin County is under a Hurricane Warning. Rain and wind due tomorrow evening.

Next update 5:00 am.

5:00 update:
Continuing similar trajectory. We expect Irma’s arrival locally with possible Tropical Storm force winds early Monday morning. Rain 3-5″.
 
The Hurricane Watch west of the Aucilla River to Indian Pass has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning.
 
The Tropical Storm Watch west of Indian Pass to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning.
 
Storm Surge watch extends to Ochlockonee River but not yet to Franklin County.
 
St. George Island has been issued Mandatory Evacuation orders. Bridge will close at 2:00 pm Sunday.
2 PM, Saturday September 9
***MANDATORY EVACUATION for BARRIER ISLANDS including St. George Island, and all low-lying areas. Effective immediately per Franklin County Emergency Management.***
***ST. GEORGE ISLAND BRIDGE WILL CLOSE TO ONGOING TRAFFIC TOMORROW, SUNDAY, AT 2:00 PM. NO ONE WILL BE ALLOWED ONTO THE ISLAND AFTER THAT.***
*** Hurricane Watch for all of Franklin County ***

On the forecast track, the core of Irma will continue to move near or over the north coast of Cuba this afternoon, and will reach the Florida Keys Sunday morning. The hurricane is expected to move along or near the southwest coast of Florida Sunday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Irma is forecast to restrengthen once it moves away from Cuba, and Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Florida. A NOAA plane is airborne en route to investigate Irma.

 
Temporary power loss in Apalachicola at 2:00 pm was NOT storm-related.
11:00 am update:
ST. GEORGE ISLAND BRIDGE WILL CLOSE TO ONGOING TRAFFIC TOMORROW, SUNDAY, AT 2:00 PM. NO ONE WILL BE ALLOWED ONTO THE ISLAND AFTER THAT.
Storm continues to track west, increased likelihood of Tropical Storm force winds and rain.
Stay tuned to National Hurricane Center for the latest. Updates to follow.

8:00 am, Saturday, September 9, St. George Island – 

Intermediate Advisory from the National Hurricane Center shows Irma continuing to track northward up the Peninsula over the next few days. Estimated 50-70% chance of Tropical Storm-force winds, and rain 2-4″. No storm surge predicted at this time.

Franklin County is under a Hurricane Watch. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Still a voluntary evacuation of St. George Island starting at 10:00 am. Mandatory for other parts of the county: Alligator Point, Bald Point, Dog Island.

Franklin County Florida Emergency Management statement should be out before the next National Hurricane Center update at 11:00.

5:00 am, Saturday, September 9, St. George Island –

Status and predictions for Irma mostly unchanged since last night. Staying tuned for further updates later this morning.
Voluntary evacuation of low-lying areas including St. George Island starting at 10:00 am.
Mandatory evacuation for Alligator Point, Bald Point, and Dog Island.

11:00 pm, Friday, September 8, St. George Island – 

The 11:00 update has extended the Hurricane Watch west to Indian Pass. We are awaiting updates on the potential impact from Franklin County Florida Emergency Management and the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center.
 
Still planned voluntary evacuation for SGI on Saturday starting at 10:00 am.

8:00 pm, Friday, September 8, St. George Island –

Continuing to track Irma. Little change since 5:00 update. Now an official VOLUNTARY evacuation for St. George Island tomorrow morning starting at 10:00 am.

If you are arriving between now and Monday, September 11, and would like to postpone or reschedule your trip, please call us Saturday between 9am and 5pm to discuss your options. We will have Guest Services agents on standby to help solve your travel issues if at all possible.
But if you want to come, we are not canceling check-ins for this weekend at this time.

5:00 pm, Friday September 8, St. George Island –

Now official that a VOLUNTARY evacuation will be announced for St. George Island tomorrow at 10:00 am. If you are scheduled to arrive beween now and Monday, September 11, and would like to postpone or reschedule your trip, please call us Saturday between the hours of 9:00 am and 5:00 pm to discuss the options available to you. But if you want to come, we are not at this time canceling check-ins for this weekend.

1. Storm track largely unchanged as of 5:00 pm
2. Rain chance 2-4″
3. Tropical storm-force winds (39-73 mph) expected between Sunday evening and Monday afternoon
4. 10-12% chance of hurricane-force winds Sunday or Monday
5. St. George Island bridge will close if winds reach 45 mph sustained.

We are not asking our guests to leave at this time. Incoming guests with arrival planned through Monday should continue to monitor conditions.

2:20 pm, Friday September 8, St. George Island –

Latest NHC updates continue to suggest slight western shift. Map updated, information unchanged. See Franklin County Emergency Management information from 1:00 below.

1:00 pm, Franklin County Emergency Management Update

Hurricane Irma Update
Franklin County Emergency Management is activated to a level 3 “Monitoring” but will be activated to a Level 2 “Partial Activation” at 8:00 on 9/9/2017.

Hurricane Weather Update:
• Irma has weakened slightly but remains a strong CAT 4 hurricane. Forecast shifted slightly westward.
• Further Shifts westward in the track could have large changes in the current forecast
• According to the current track Tropical Storm Force winds (39-73 mph) can be expected late Sunday night- early Monday Morning 9/11/2017.
• Rain Amounts of 2-4 inches across Southwest GA, Southwest AL, and western FL panhandle. Amounts of 4-6 inches include south-central GA and the eastern FL Big Bend

BE SURE TO MONITOR:
• www.franklinemergencymanagement.com
• @FranklinEOC on Facebook – Like Our Page for Updates
• Alert Franklin – Sign up at www.franklinemergencymanagement.com

11:00 am, Friday, September 8, St. George Island –

Irma continues to be projected to make landfall in South Florida on Sunday and move into the center of the state. St. George Island is still on the western edge of the cone of possibility. The National Hurricane Center estimates that Sunday afternoon will bring some tropical storm-force winds and 2-4 inches of rain for our area. No storm surge is expected at this time. Irma has decreased to a Category 4 storm. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida.

No evacuations have been ordered for St. George Island or the Forgotten Coast.

WeatherStem is an app providing live wind-speed and forecast information from St. George Island Bridge, including a live camera. Download in the App Store or on Google Play.

Emergency Notifications: Franklin County Emergency Management offers updates via text and email. Sign up here or text “FRANKLINFL” to 888777 to anonymously sign up for only Emergency Notifications.

Next update at 2:00 pm.

5:00 am, Friday, September 8th, St. George Island – 

National Hurricane Center projections have shifted Irma’s trajectory westward and the Forgotten Coast is now within the cone of possibility.

However, Irma has weakened slightly overnight and is now a Category 4 storm. Landfall in southern Florida is expected Saturday night, and a Hurricane Watch has been extended north to the Tampa Bay area.

We are awaiting further updates on local expectations from Franklin County Emergency Management, and will share those as we receive them.

11:00 pm, Thursday, September 7, St. George Island –

The 11:00 update from the National Hurricane Center unfortunately continues to predict westward movement from Hurricane Irma. This could mean unfortunate developments for the Forgotten Coast, and we will monitor the storm with great interest overnight while we wait for the 5:00 am update.

Our thoughts and prayers are with those who are located in the path of the storm’s wrath.

5:00 pm, Thursday, September 7, St. George Island – 

Hurricane Irma continues the W-NW movement. The most recent National Hurricane Center trajectory shows a slight shift to the west. We will monitor these changes closely.  For our visitors and friends on the east coast, please heed your local warnings.

Here on St. George Island, we continue to await further notice. Franklin County Emergency Management has been meeting all day, and are not issuing warnings at this time.

Next update at 11:00 pm.

11:00 am, Thursday, September 7, St. George Island –

The 11:00 am forecast from the National Hurricane Center continues to look better for our Island, but we’re remaining diligent and continuing to prep houses in the event the tropical force winds reach this far west.

We also pray that Irma continues to east and dissipates somewhere over the Atlantic. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for portions of South Florida (the pink area in the image to the right) but the Panhandle has not had a Hurricane Watch issued, nor are there currently any planned evacuations for our area.

Next update is at 5:00 pm.

5:00 am, Thursday, September 7, St. George Island –

Storm track estimates continue on a similar path to yesterday. Great uncertainty still exists, and St. George Island and the eastern Panhandle are still within the cone of possibility.

The NHC states that “The threat of direct hurricane impacts in Florida over the weekend and early next week continues to increase. Hurricane watches will likely be issued fo rportions of the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula later this morning.” We will be watching to see how information develops.

Next update at 11:00 am.

11:00 pm, Wednesday, September 6, St. George Island – 

The 11:00 update continues to suggest a northern trend for Irma. Tomorrow should give us a better idea of the threats to the Gulf Coast. See you in the morning!

5:00 pm, Wednesday, September 6, St. George Island – 

At 500 PM EST, the eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 65.4 West, just off the northeast coast of Puerto Rico.

Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane in the coming days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

2:00 pm, Wednesday, September 6, St. George Island – 

The 2:00 Intermediate Advisory brought little new information relevant to the Florida Panhandle. The NHC continues to advise people to monitor the storm and make preparedness plans. Next full update at 5:00 pm.

11:00 am, Wednesday, September 6, St. George Island –

The National Hurricane Center continues to predict a northerly trend. Strong possibility that our area will experience some impact, but fingers are crossed for the outer bands. Continue to prepare along the Gulf Coast and up the Eastern seaboard.

NHC: Some storm impact is “possible … in portions of the Florida Peninsula beginning later this week and this weekend. However, given the forecast uncertainty at these times ranges, it is too soon to specify the location and magnitude of these impacts.”

8:00 am, Wednesday, September 6, St. George Island –
NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center updates suggest a slight northern shift in Irma’s trajectory, and we continue to monitor progress and prepare for storm effects. Next update at 11:00 am.

11:10 pm, Tuesday, September 5, St. George Island:

Updates from the NHC continue to reflect an indeterminate northwestern movement from Irma. More specific updates on the storm’s movement will come later in the week.

5:03 pm, Tuesday, September 5, St. George Island –

The 5:00 NHC/NWS update remains unchanged. Precautionary measures are underway. Keep up to date here and register with Franklin County Emergency Management. Next update 11:00 pm Eastern.

2:30 pm, Tuesday, September 5, St. George Island –

The 2:00 NHC/NWS update remains unchanged. Precautionary measures are underway. Keep up to date here and register with Franklin County Emergency Management. Next update 5:00 pm Eastern.

11:30 am, Tuesday, September 5, 2017, St. George Island –

We’re preparing for the possibility of Irma’s arrival, but not panicking. As of this morning, the National Hurricane Center said, “…it is still too early to determine what direct impacts Irma might have on the continental United States. However, everyone in hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their hurricane plan in place.”

RVP does. RVP also has a representative on the Franklin County Emergency Management committee, and we will issue updates as warranted. You can also sign up for updates from Franklin County Emergency Management directly, through the “Alert Franklin” program. Details here.

As always, be sure to only trust the official National Weather Service for updates; NWS issued a warning against “Fake Forecasts” over the weekend.